United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) Stock Analysis
Verdict: HOLD
High-yield income play transitioning into specialized healthcare logistics—revenue contraction remains the primary hurdle for capital gains.
Investment score: 62/100
Analysis as of
Is United Parcel Service Inc stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
The AI model views UPS as a stable income generator transitioning toward high-margin healthcare niches, though top-line growth must flip positive to justify a BUY rating.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 68/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 45/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 70/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 75/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 50/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 55/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 72/100 (weight 15%)
United Parcel Service Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for UPS
- Healthcare & Cold-Chain Expansion
What speaks against UPS
- Unstable Dividend Coverage
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPS | 17.6x | 1.0x | 9.9x | 17.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| FDX | 17.6x | 0.8x | 10.1x | 22.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% |
| CHRW | 35.9x | 1.3x | 23.2x | 8.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% |
| EXPD | 25.8x | 1.9x | 17.4x | 20.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| GXO | 43.4x | 0.4x | 14.0x | 12.7% | 1.0% | 7.4% |
| HUBG | 25.4x | 0.7x | 9.1x | 48.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% |
| Peer median | 25.8x | 0.8x | 14.0x | 20.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% |
Frequently asked questions about United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)
Is UPS stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates United Parcel Service Inc as HOLD with an investment score of 62/100. The AI model views UPS as a stable income generator transitioning toward high-margin healthcare niches, though top-line growth must flip positive to justify a BUY rating. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is UPS stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for UPS is HOLD with an investment score of 62/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.