FedEx Corp (FDX) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Investment score: 44/100
Analysis as of
Is FedEx Corp stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
FedEx faces a dual crisis: a massive new competitor in Amazon and declining operating cash flow ($10.1B in 2021 to $7.0B in 2025). The model views current levels as overvalued relative to the heightened competitive risk.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 40/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 45/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 35/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 85/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 30/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 50/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 35/100 (weight 15%)
FedEx Corp opportunities and risks
What speaks for FDX
- DRIVE Program Cost Savings
What speaks against FDX
- Amazon Third-Party Logistics (3PL) Launch
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDX | 19.4x | 0.9x | 11.3x | 24.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% |
| UPS | 15.6x | 0.9x | 9.5x | 18.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| CHRW | 32.2x | 1.2x | 21.2x | 8.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% |
| EXPD | 23.1x | 1.7x | 16.0x | 14.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| GXO | 165.6x | 0.4x | 17.3x | 12.5% | 0.2% | 7.1% |
| HUBG | 23.5x | 0.7x | 8.5x | 48.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% |
| Peer median | 23.5x | 0.9x | 16.0x | 14.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% |
Frequently asked questions about FedEx Corp (FDX)
Is FDX stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates FedEx Corp as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 44/100. FedEx faces a dual crisis: a massive new competitor in Amazon and declining operating cash flow ($10.1B in 2021 to $7.0B in 2025). The model views current levels as overvalued relative to the heightened competitive risk. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is FDX stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for FDX is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 44/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.