PBF Energy Inc (PBF) Stock Analysis
Verdict: AVOID
A parabolic rally fueled by geopolitical tension has detached PBF from its deteriorating fundamentals and consensus price targets.
Investment score: 38/100
Analysis as of
Is PBF Energy Inc stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
The model identifies a severe disconnect between PBF's stock price and its underlying financial health. Despite a massive short-term rally, deteriorating margins, negative cash flow, and aggressive insider selling suggest a high probability of a reversal toward fundamental fair value.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 55/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 25/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 85/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 40/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 10/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 20/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 30/100 (weight 15%)
PBF Energy Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for PBF
- Crack Spread Expansion
What speaks against PBF
- Aggressive Insider Liquidations
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBF | 15.2x | 0.2x | 10.9x | 1.1% | 1.5% | -10.1% |
| VLO | 21.5x | 0.7x | 10.3x | 7.2% | 3.3% | 6.7% |
| MPC | 19.4x | 0.6x | 9.7x | 8.8% | 3.4% | 6.6% |
| PSX | 19.5x | 0.6x | 11.0x | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| DINO | 12.3x | 0.5x | 6.2x | 11.0% | 4.5% | 8.0% |
| SUN | 17.9x | 0.3x | 4.2x | 10.4% | 2.8% | 8.6% |
| Peer median | 19.4x | 0.6x | 9.7x | 8.8% | 3.3% | 6.7% |
Frequently asked questions about PBF Energy Inc (PBF)
Is PBF stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates PBF Energy Inc as AVOID with an investment score of 38/100. The model identifies a severe disconnect between PBF's stock price and its underlying financial health. Despite a massive short-term rally, deteriorating margins, negative cash flow, and aggressive insider selling suggest a high probability of a reversal toward fundamental fair value. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is PBF stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for PBF is AVOID with an investment score of 38/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.