Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Pristine balance sheet and high margins are fully priced in; heavy insider selling and 15% overshoot of analyst targets signal a pullback.
Investment score: 58/100
Analysis as of
Is Monarch Casino & Resort Inc stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
The TradeMates model flags MCRI as overextended despite excellent operational health. Insiders are exiting, and the price is significantly above the analyst high-water mark.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 35/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 95/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 65/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 80/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 10/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 40/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 45/100 (weight 15%)
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for MCRI
- Debt-Free Growth Profile
What speaks against MCRI
- Aggressive Insider Liquidation
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCRI | 19.7x | 3.8x | 10.5x | 51.6% | 19.6% | 7.2% |
| RRR | 18.2x | 1.7x | 4.2x | 57.1% | 9.2% | 17.5% |
| CHDN | 15.8x | 2.1x | 10.4x | 33.8% | 13.1% | 11.1% |
| CZR | n/a | 0.5x | 8.6x | 43.9% | -4.2% | 8.4% |
| RSI | 69.9x | 4.9x | 35.8x | 34.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| PENN | n/a | 0.4x | n/a | 29.7% | -13.5% | -2.3% |
| Peer median | 15.8x | 1.7x | 8.6x | 34.9% | 3.0% | 8.4% |
Frequently asked questions about Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI)
Is MCRI stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Monarch Casino & Resort Inc as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 58/100. The TradeMates model flags MCRI as overextended despite excellent operational health. Insiders are exiting, and the price is significantly above the analyst high-water mark. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is MCRI stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for MCRI is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 58/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.