Ferguson Enterprises Inc (FERG) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Resilient market share and 33% analyst upside face near-term cyclical housing drag as price consolidates near 52-week low of $213.14.
Investment score: 58/100
Analysis as of
Is Ferguson Enterprises Inc stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
The TradeMates model views Ferguson as a fundamentally high-quality business experiencing near-term cyclical and technical pressure. The model assigns a HOLD rating while waiting for a clear base to form above $213.14 support.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 62/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 68/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 28/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 72/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 45/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 70/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 60/100 (weight 15%)
Ferguson Enterprises Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for FERG
- Valuation Discount relative to Industrial Peers
What speaks against FERG
- Cyclical Downturn in Residential Construction
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FERG | 20.5x | 1.3x | 15.2x | 30.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| URI | 24.4x | 3.7x | 11.6x | 37.1% | 15.7% | 1.0% |
| GWW | 32.0x | 3.1x | 20.8x | 39.4% | 9.9% | 2.5% |
| FAST | 41.3x | 6.4x | 28.7x | 44.7% | 15.5% | 1.8% |
| SUNB | 22.1x | 2.6x | 10.1x | 44.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% |
| WCC | 23.0x | 0.7x | 14.0x | 21.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Peer median | 24.4x | 3.1x | 14.0x | 39.4% | 12.0% | 1.8% |
Frequently asked questions about Ferguson Enterprises Inc (FERG)
Is FERG stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Ferguson Enterprises Inc as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 58/100. The TradeMates model views Ferguson as a fundamentally high-quality business experiencing near-term cyclical and technical pressure. The model assigns a HOLD rating while waiting for a clear base to form above $213.14 support. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is FERG stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for FERG is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 58/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.