Fastenal Co (FAST) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Elite operational efficiency and fortress balance sheet are overshadowed by a 41x P/E and a consistent three-quarter earnings miss streak.
Investment score: 48/100
Analysis as of
Is Fastenal Co stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
FAST is an operationally perfect company trading at a price that leaves no margin for error. A 41x P/E for 10-12% growth is unsustainable in the current rate environment.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 25/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 90/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 50/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 35/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 40/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 45/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 55/100 (weight 15%)
Fastenal Co opportunities and risks
What speaks for FAST
- Deep Customer Integration via Onsite Locations
What speaks against FAST
- Severe Valuation De-rating Risk
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAST | 41.0x | 6.4x | 28.4x | 44.9% | 15.4% | 2.2% |
| URI | 28.1x | 4.2x | 12.9x | 36.3% | 15.3% | 1.0% |
| GWW | 37.0x | 3.6x | 23.4x | 39.2% | 9.7% | 2.1% |
| FERG | 21.4x | 1.4x | 14.8x | 30.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| SUNB | 24.2x | 2.8x | 9.8x | 61.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% |
| WCC | 23.5x | 0.7x | 14.5x | 20.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Peer median | 24.2x | 2.8x | 14.5x | 36.3% | 9.7% | 2.1% |
Frequently asked questions about Fastenal Co (FAST)
Is FAST stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Fastenal Co as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 48/100. FAST is an operationally perfect company trading at a price that leaves no margin for error. A 41x P/E for 10-12% growth is unsustainable in the current rate environment. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is FAST stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for FAST is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 48/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.