Burlington Stores Inc (BURL) Stock Analysis
Verdict: HOLD
Profitable 'Burlington 2.0' execution is driving margin expansion, yet technical selling and conservative guidance create a near-term floor.
Investment score: 62/100
Analysis as of
Is Burlington Stores Inc stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
Buy the post-earnings dip. The model sees the 10% drop as an overreaction to conservative Q2 guides, ignoring the broader 22% earnings growth and sustained 44% gross margins.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 55/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 65/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 48/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 85/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 35/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 80/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 60/100 (weight 15%)
Burlington Stores Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for BURL
- Margin Expansion via 2.0 Strategy
What speaks against BURL
- Leverage and Financial Risk
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BURL | 30.2x | 1.5x | 16.3x | 44.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| TJX | 29.9x | 2.8x | 21.6x | 31.4% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| ROST | 31.0x | 3.1x | 19.9x | 28.3% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| GAP | 11.4x | 0.6x | 7.3x | 40.8% | 5.3% | 10.7% |
| URBN | 13.9x | 1.1x | 11.9x | 36.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| BOOT | 23.3x | 2.3x | 15.6x | 38.1% | 10.0% | 2.4% |
| Peer median | 23.3x | 2.3x | 15.6x | 36.0% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
Frequently asked questions about Burlington Stores Inc (BURL)
Is BURL stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Burlington Stores Inc as HOLD with an investment score of 62/100. Buy the post-earnings dip. The model sees the 10% drop as an overreaction to conservative Q2 guides, ignoring the broader 22% earnings growth and sustained 44% gross margins. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is BURL stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for BURL is HOLD with an investment score of 62/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.