Arbor Realty Trust Inc (ABR) Stock Analysis
Verdict: AVOID
Asset quality deterioration and a drastic dividend reset signal a painful transition from growth to distressed resolution through 2026.
Investment score: 38/100
Analysis as of
Is Arbor Realty Trust Inc stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
Arbor Realty is currently a distressed asset play, not an income play; avoid until non-performing loan resolutions peak.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 55/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 25/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 20/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 15/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 85/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 40/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 30/100 (weight 15%)
Arbor Realty Trust Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for ABR
- Deep Discount to Book Value
What speaks against ABR
- Accelerating Asset Impairment
Peers and competitors
- EFC
- ARI
- ORC
- TWO
- LADR
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABR | 9.9x | 1.0x | 13.8x | 92.6% | 9.8% | 16.9% |
| EFC | 7.6x | 2.3x | 43.7x | 87.0% | 36.5% | -60.7% |
| ARI | 11.9x | 2.0x | 19.3x | 66.2% | 17.9% | 1.9% |
| ORC | 10.5x | 3.0x | 41.4x | 71.0% | 36.0% | 13.9% |
| TWO | n/a | 1.7x | 130.4x | 88.0% | -44.8% | -5.3% |
| LADR | 22.8x | 3.2x | 19.0x | 71.1% | 13.7% | 8.4% |
| Peer median | 10.5x | 2.3x | 41.4x | 71.1% | 17.9% | 1.9% |
Frequently asked questions about Arbor Realty Trust Inc (ABR)
Is ABR stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Arbor Realty Trust Inc as AVOID with an investment score of 38/100. Arbor Realty is currently a distressed asset play, not an income play; avoid until non-performing loan resolutions peak. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is ABR stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for ABR is AVOID with an investment score of 38/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.