Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Recent earnings euphoria has disconnected the stock from its $91 consensus valuation and structural debt concerns.
Investment score: 48/100
Analysis as of
Is Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
Avoid VAC due to extreme valuation premium over fundamentals and consensus targets.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 30/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 40/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 75/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 55/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 50/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 35/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 45/100 (weight 15%)
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp opportunities and risks
What speaks for VAC
- Robust VOI Sales Momentum
What speaks against VAC
- Debt Servicing and Interest Rate Sensitivity
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAC | n/a | 0.9x | n/a | 43.2% | -7.1% | 2.6% |
| NAVN | n/a | 8.5x | n/a | 72.1% | -46.7% | 0.1% |
| WH | 27.4x | 4.0x | 16.6x | 64.2% | 14.7% | 5.8% |
| CHH | 15.4x | 3.1x | 11.7x | 45.0% | 20.3% | 4.4% |
| GBTG | 59.0x | 1.6x | 17.0x | 58.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| TNL | 20.9x | 1.2x | 14.6x | 45.2% | 5.8% | 14.3% |
| Peer median | 20.9x | 3.1x | 14.6x | 58.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
Frequently asked questions about Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp (VAC)
Is VAC stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 48/100. Avoid VAC due to extreme valuation premium over fundamentals and consensus targets. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is VAC stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for VAC is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 48/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.