USFD (USFD) Stock Analysis
Verdict: HOLD
Free cash flow expansion to $959M and tuck-in M&A support low-double-digit EPS growth, but 2.98x Net Debt/EBITDA leaves no margin for traffic deceleration.
Investment score: 56/100
From the model's perspective, USFD is a high-quality broadline distributor experiencing short-term momentum weakness (-7.8% 30-day return). While structural cash generation ($959M FCF) and PRONTO digital adoption support long-term compound earnings, current valuation (28.01x TTM P/E vs Sysco's 21.53x) and leverage require a safer entry price near $82-$85.
Peers
| Peer | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | ROIC % | Net margin % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYY | 21.53 | 14.20 | 0.45 | 13.31 | — | 0.02 |
| PFGC | 39.67 | 2.90 | 0.21 | 12.85 | — | 0.01 |
| CHEF | 46.80 | 6.69 | 1.03 | 13.05 | — | 0.02 |
| UNFI | 33.70 | 1.74 | 0.09 | 9.28 | — | 0.00 |
| ANDE | 13.86 | 1.86 | 0.22 | 8.77 | — | 0.02 |