UGI Corp (UGI) Stock Analysis
Verdict: BUY
A $42.50 KKR buyout offer provides a hard valuation floor, but execution risk remains high due to chronic earnings misses and high leverage.
Investment score: 68/100
Analysis as of
Is UGI Corp stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
The model score of 68/100 falls in the BUY range. The central thesis and factor breakdown explain the assessment.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 85/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 45/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 75/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 30/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 40/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 60/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 70/100 (weight 15%)
UGI Corp opportunities and risks
What speaks for UGI
- M&A Arbitrage Spread
What speaks against UGI
- Regulatory Deal Blocking
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UGI | 12.3x | 1.1x | 9.4x | 46.7% | 9.2% | 2.3% |
| ATO | 20.1x | 5.8x | 14.3x | 61.0% | 28.5% | -7.1% |
| NFG | 11.5x | 3.2x | 6.7x | 49.0% | 27.0% | 2.8% |
| SWX | 12.8x | 3.8x | 11.3x | 56.6% | 29.8% | -12.5% |
| NJR | 15.3x | 2.5x | 11.9x | 28.3% | 16.4% | 1.4% |
| OGS | 17.4x | 2.2x | 10.8x | 74.6% | 12.5% | -3.4% |
| Peer median | 15.3x | 3.2x | 11.3x | 56.6% | 27.0% | -3.4% |
Frequently asked questions about UGI Corp (UGI)
Is UGI stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates UGI Corp as BUY with an investment score of 68/100. The model score of 68/100 falls in the BUY range. The central thesis and factor breakdown explain the assessment. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is UGI stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for UGI is BUY with an investment score of 68/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.