Timken Co (TKR) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Extreme technical overextension and aggressive insider selling outweigh cyclical earnings beats, signaling a peak before a valuation reset.
Investment score: 48/100
Analysis as of
Is Timken Co stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
While operations remain robust, the current valuation prices in aggressive growth that the -5.17% TTM earnings decline does not support. The AI model anticipates a correction toward the $117 support level.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 30/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 65/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 40/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 75/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 15/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 60/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 45/100 (weight 15%)
Timken Co opportunities and risks
What speaks for TKR
- Renewable Energy Transition
What speaks against TKR
- Severe Valuation Disconnect
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TKR | 30.9x | 2.0x | 15.9x | 28.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| SPXC | 44.2x | 4.9x | 23.7x | 36.7% | 11.1% | 3.3% |
| WTS | 30.5x | 4.3x | 19.1x | 49.2% | 14.3% | 2.9% |
| DCI | 22.8x | 2.6x | 15.0x | 34.2% | 11.5% | 3.9% |
| FLS | 28.1x | 2.1x | 15.6x | 35.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| GTLS | n/a | 2.4x | 29.4x | 31.3% | -0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peer median | 28.1x | 2.6x | 19.1x | 35.5% | 11.1% | 3.3% |
Frequently asked questions about Timken Co (TKR)
Is TKR stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates Timken Co as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 48/100. While operations remain robust, the current valuation prices in aggressive growth that the -5.17% TTM earnings decline does not support. The AI model anticipates a correction toward the $117 support level. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is TKR stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for TKR is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 48/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.