Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Improving FCF and earnings surprises are battling a toxic balance sheet; momentum is high but price sits flush against analyst targets.
Investment score: 58/100
Analysis as of
Is Scotts Miracle-Gro Co stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
Tactical strength vs. structural debt. Hold for momentum; avoid new entry at current resistance.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 40/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 35/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 85/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 75/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 50/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 55/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 60/100 (weight 15%)
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co opportunities and risks
What speaks for SMG
- Improving Free Cash Flow Generation
What speaks against SMG
- Severely Weakened Balance Sheet
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMG | 38.7x | 1.3x | 13.1x | 32.5% | 3.3% | 8.9% |
| CTVA | 50.7x | 3.2x | 18.8x | 46.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| CF | 10.6x | 2.5x | 5.3x | 40.4% | 23.7% | 8.9% |
| MOS | 9.6x | 0.6x | 3.4x | 13.9% | 6.0% | -6.8% |
| FMC | n/a | 0.4x | n/a | 35.3% | -72.9% | -8.6% |
| UAN | 10.2x | 1.9x | 7.2x | 25.3% | 18.9% | 9.0% |
| Peer median | 10.2x | 1.9x | 5.3x | 35.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
Frequently asked questions about Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG)
Is SMG stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates Scotts Miracle-Gro Co as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 58/100. Tactical strength vs. structural debt. Hold for momentum; avoid new entry at current resistance. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is SMG stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for SMG is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 58/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.