Orla Mining Ltd (ORLA) Stock Analysis
Verdict: HOLD
Operational excellence and 9.7% FCF yield provide a valuation floor against aggressive 40% technical drawdown and Panama permit risks.
Investment score: 62/100
Analysis as of
Is Orla Mining Ltd stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
The model identifies a massive divergence between operational performance (210% revenue growth) and recent price action (-40% in 90 days). While fundamental metrics like a 19.5% net margin and 5.1x EV/EBITDA suggest deep value, the technical momentum is toxic. A 'Hold' is warranted until the price stabilizes above the $10.23 support level.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 75/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 80/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 25/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 70/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 50/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 85/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 45/100 (weight 15%)
Orla Mining Ltd opportunities and risks
What speaks for ORLA
- Significant Undervaluation vs Peers
What speaks against ORLA
- Extreme Beta and Volatility Decay
Peers and competitors
- ARTG.V
- YRI.TO
- KNT.TO
- TXG.TO
- OLA.TO
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORLA | 13.7x | 2.7x | 5.1x | 52.6% | 19.5% | 9.7% |
| ARTG.V | 16.5x | 6.4x | 9.4x | 72.1% | 38.6% | 3.1% |
| YRI.TO | n/a | 3.1x | n/a | 31.1% | -77.2% | 0.4% |
| KNT.TO | 12.8x | 5.9x | 7.7x | 72.2% | 46.1% | 2.7% |
| TXG.TO | 6.5x | 2.3x | 3.9x | 52.5% | 34.2% | 10.9% |
| OLA.TO | 13.7x | 2.7x | 5.1x | 52.6% | 19.5% | 9.7% |
| Peer median | 12.8x | 3.1x | 5.1x | 52.6% | 34.2% | 3.1% |
Frequently asked questions about Orla Mining Ltd (ORLA)
Is ORLA stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Orla Mining Ltd as HOLD with an investment score of 62/100. The model identifies a massive divergence between operational performance (210% revenue growth) and recent price action (-40% in 90 days). While fundamental metrics like a 19.5% net margin and 5.1x EV/EBITDA suggest deep value, the technical momentum is toxic. A 'Hold' is warranted until the price stabilizes above the $10.23 support level. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is ORLA stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for ORLA is HOLD with an investment score of 62/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.