Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI) Stock Analysis
Verdict: HOLD
OLLI is a classic 'falling knife' where robust 16% growth and 40% margins meet a macro-driven liquidation, offering a valuation gap.
Investment score: 64/100
Analysis as of
Is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
Ollie's is currently undervalued due to a macro-induced sell-off that ignores its consistent revenue growth and sector-leading margins.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 82/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 75/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 25/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 55/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 40/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 85/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 60/100 (weight 15%)
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for OLLI
- Significant Undervaluation vs. DCF Fair Value
What speaks against OLLI
- Sustained Interest Rate Pressure
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLLI | 15.2x | 1.4x | 10.8x | 39.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
| DDS | 12.3x | 1.2x | 7.6x | 37.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| ETSY | 26.7x | 2.6x | 17.5x | 72.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% |
| M | 9.2x | 0.3x | 5.0x | 36.5% | 2.9% | 25.2% |
| PTRN | n/a | 1.6x | 141.0x | 43.2% | -5.2% | 2.3% |
| KSS | 6.5x | 0.1x | 6.0x | 39.4% | 1.8% | 66.9% |
| Peer median | 9.2x | 1.2x | 7.6x | 39.4% | 2.9% | 9.3% |
Frequently asked questions about Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI)
Is OLLI stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc as HOLD with an investment score of 64/100. Ollie's is currently undervalued due to a macro-induced sell-off that ignores its consistent revenue growth and sector-leading margins. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is OLLI stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for OLLI is HOLD with an investment score of 64/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.