Newmont Corporation (NEM) Stock Analysis
Verdict: BUY
Tier-1 gold leverage and massive earnings surprises suggest a deep value opportunity, but insider selling and macro headwinds limit momentum.
Investment score: 68/100
Analysis as of
Is Newmont Corporation stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
Newmont is a high-conviction value play in the mining sector. Despite technical weakness and executive selling, its underlying fundamentals—anchored by 52% operating margins and a track record of crushing earnings estimates—indicate the stock is trading significantly below its fair value of $142+. The model anticipates a re-rating as the market recognizes the 12.8% FCF yield.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 75/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 70/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 40/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 95/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 30/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 85/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 70/100 (weight 15%)
Newmont Corporation opportunities and risks
What speaks for NEM
- Consistent Earnings Outperformance
What speaks against NEM
- Lack of Insider Confidence
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEM | 11.6x | 3.9x | 5.5x | 55.1% | 34.6% | 12.8% |
| AU | 11.0x | 3.4x | 5.3x | 52.2% | 31.1% | 10.5% |
| RGLD | 22.4x | 12.3x | 15.9x | 68.5% | 48.5% | -1.5% |
| CDE | 11.3x | 5.7x | 11.1x | 50.8% | 31.1% | 6.2% |
| SSRM | 22.0x | 2.8x | 5.7x | 55.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% |
| AUGO | 45.5x | 3.7x | 12.1x | 56.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Peer median | 22.0x | 3.7x | 11.1x | 55.8% | 31.1% | 6.2% |
Frequently asked questions about Newmont Corporation (NEM)
Is NEM stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates Newmont Corporation as BUY with an investment score of 68/100. Newmont is a high-conviction value play in the mining sector. Despite technical weakness and executive selling, its underlying fundamentals—anchored by 52% operating margins and a track record of crushing earnings estimates—indicate the stock is trading significantly below its fair value of $142+. The model anticipates a re-rating as the market recognizes the 12.8% FCF yield. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is NEM stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for NEM is BUY with an investment score of 68/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.