Maxlinear Inc (MXL) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Keystone optical DSP ramps drive $1.16B 2028 sales targets — yet heavy CEO insider selling and 3.93 Beta risk a retracement to $60 support.
Investment score: 51/100
Analysis as of
Is Maxlinear Inc stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
MaxLinear is undergoing a operational pivot from cyclical broadband chips toward AI optical infrastructure (Keystone 400G/800G, Rushmore 1.6T). However, a 3.93 Beta, persistent CEO share sales, and a 45.0x 2026 P/E valuation suggest waiting for a better entry point closer to key technical support at $60.00.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 52/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 58/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 42/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 70/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 20/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 68/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 45/100 (weight 15%)
Maxlinear Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for MXL
- Keystone PAM4 DSP and Rushmore 1.6T platforms drive hyper-growth in AI data center optical interconnects.
What speaks against MXL
- Heavy executive insider selling signals institutional headwind and weak insider confidence.
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MXL | n/a | 12.6x | n/a | 57.4% | -18.2% | 0.0% |
| SITM | 990.4x | 29.6x | 256.2x | 58.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| SMTC | 96.7x | 12.7x | 115.6x | 52.0% | 13.1% | 1.2% |
| RMBS | 41.5x | 13.2x | 29.2x | 78.3% | 31.7% | 3.0% |
| SLAB | n/a | 8.5x | 3668.5x | 59.9% | -4.6% | -0.1% |
| ALGM | 397.8x | 6.3x | 59.0x | 47.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Peer median | 96.7x | 12.7x | 115.6x | 58.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
Frequently asked questions about Maxlinear Inc (MXL)
Is MXL stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates Maxlinear Inc as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 51/100. MaxLinear is undergoing a operational pivot from cyclical broadband chips toward AI optical infrastructure (Keystone 400G/800G, Rushmore 1.6T). However, a 3.93 Beta, persistent CEO share sales, and a 45.0x 2026 P/E valuation suggest waiting for a better entry point closer to key technical support at $60.00. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is MXL stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for MXL is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 51/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.