Moelis & Co (MC) Stock Analysis
Verdict: HOLD
Cyclical M&A rebound and 10.4% FCF yield offer valuation support, but consecutive 2026 EPS misses and a high beta (1.87) cap near-term upside.
Investment score: 51/100
Analysis as of
Is Moelis & Co stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
The model assesses Moelis & Co (MC) as a HOLD at $56.32. Strong free cash flow conversion ($539.97M in 2025; 10.4% TTM yield) and expected 2027 deal recovery (EPS forecast $3.94) provide medium-term support. However, consecutive 2026 EPS misses (-11.52% in Q1; -1.19% in Q2), a high Beta of 1.87, and a premium P/E relative to peers (18.59x vs peer median 14.36x) justify a neutral stance.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 52/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 72/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 38/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 42/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 45/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 58/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 48/100 (weight 15%)
Moelis & Co opportunities and risks
What speaks for MC
- Private Advisory & Restructuring Growth
What speaks against MC
- Compensation Inflation Squeezing Margins
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC | 18.6x | 2.7x | 13.5x | 69.9% | 14.5% | 10.4% |
| VIRT | 7.4x | 3.1x | 8.3x | 55.4% | 16.8% | 3.3% |
| HLI | 20.8x | 3.5x | 14.4x | 50.8% | 16.1% | 5.5% |
| SNEX | 10.7x | 0.0x | 9.4x | 2.6% | 0.3% | 64.8% |
| BGC | 28.3x | 1.7x | 12.8x | 80.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% |
| PIPR | 14.4x | 2.1x | 8.3x | 96.5% | 14.6% | 13.7% |
| Peer median | 14.4x | 2.1x | 9.4x | 55.4% | 14.6% | 6.9% |
Frequently asked questions about Moelis & Co (MC)
Is MC stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates Moelis & Co as HOLD with an investment score of 51/100. The model assesses Moelis & Co (MC) as a HOLD at $56.32. Strong free cash flow conversion ($539.97M in 2025; 10.4% TTM yield) and expected 2027 deal recovery (EPS forecast $3.94) provide medium-term support. However, consecutive 2026 EPS misses (-11.52% in Q1; -1.19% in Q2), a high Beta of 1.87, and a premium P/E relative to peers (18.59x vs peer median 14.36x) justify a neutral stance. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is MC stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for MC is HOLD with an investment score of 51/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.