LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Cyclical earnings recovery and lower feedstocks support 2026 EPS rebound, but high net debt and weak global demand cap upside.
Investment score: 51/100
Analysis as of
Is LyondellBasell Industries NV stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
The AI model evaluates LyondellBasell as a HOLD due to conflicting signals: strong expected 2026 earnings recovery ($9.26 EPS consensus) countered by heavy leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA 6.14x) and flat TTM revenue (-11.27% y/y in 2025).
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 55/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 35/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 50/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 68/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 40/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 58/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 48/100 (weight 15%)
LyondellBasell Industries NV opportunities and risks
What speaks for LYB
- Sharp 2026 Consensus Earnings Recovery
What speaks against LYB
- Elevated Leverage Profile (Net Debt/EBITDA 6.14x)
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYB | n/a | 0.7x | 17.3x | 13.2% | -1.1% | 16.4% |
| ESNT.L | 56.8x | 1.0x | 7.7x | 47.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% |
| ZTF.L | 8.7x | 1.2x | 7.4x | 34.0% | 13.9% | 7.2% |
| Peer median | 32.8x | 1.1x | 7.5x | 40.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
Frequently asked questions about LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB)
Is LYB stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates LyondellBasell Industries NV as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 51/100. The AI model evaluates LyondellBasell as a HOLD due to conflicting signals: strong expected 2026 earnings recovery ($9.26 EPS consensus) countered by heavy leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA 6.14x) and flat TTM revenue (-11.27% y/y in 2025). This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is LYB stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for LYB is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 51/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.