LightPath Technologies Inc (LPTH) Stock Analysis
Verdict: AVOID
Aggressive insider selling and systemic earnings misses overshadow revenue growth, making the current 13x P/S valuation unsustainable.
Investment score: 38/100
Analysis as of
Is LightPath Technologies Inc stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
LightPath Technologies exhibits strong top-line growth (35.6%) but fails to translate this into bottom-line results, evidenced by a -149% earnings surprise in the most recent quarter. The model notes that P/S levels (13.09x) are 10x higher than DAKT (1.22x), while insiders are exiting positions at current levels.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 15/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 30/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 55/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 10/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 20/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 70/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 40/100 (weight 15%)
LightPath Technologies Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for LPTH
- Strategic Shift to Integrated Systems
What speaks against LPTH
- Severe Valuation Disconnect vs Peers
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LPTH | n/a | 13.1x | n/a | 32.1% | -37.4% | -1.3% |
| NSSC | 38.5x | 7.2x | 28.8x | 57.0% | 18.7% | 4.0% |
| UMAC | n/a | 39.0x | 9462.1x | 34.6% | -20.3% | -4.7% |
| VPG | 223.8x | 2.2x | 27.0x | 38.7% | 0.9% | -0.8% |
| EVLV | n/a | 6.3x | 67.1x | 50.0% | -3.0% | -0.6% |
| DAKT | 22.7x | 1.2x | 11.9x | 27.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Peer median | 22.7x | 6.3x | 28.8x | 38.7% | 0.9% | -0.6% |
Frequently asked questions about LightPath Technologies Inc (LPTH)
Is LPTH stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates LightPath Technologies Inc as AVOID with an investment score of 38/100. LightPath Technologies exhibits strong top-line growth (35.6%) but fails to translate this into bottom-line results, evidenced by a -149% earnings surprise in the most recent quarter. The model notes that P/S levels (13.09x) are 10x higher than DAKT (1.22x), while insiders are exiting positions at current levels. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is LPTH stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for LPTH is AVOID with an investment score of 38/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.