Knife River Corp (KNF) Stock Analysis
Verdict: AVOID
Margin decay, a -32% Q2 EPS miss, and total debt reaching $1.22B overwhelm infrastructure tailwinds, keeping KNF in a severe downtrend.
Investment score: 30/100
Analysis as of
Is Knife River Corp stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
The TradeMates model sees KNF as an unattractive risk/reward candidate at current levels. Deteriorating profitability margins, rising debt burdens, and a major Q2 earnings miss indicate operational headwinds that override broader infrastructure demand tailwinds.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 35/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 30/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 15/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 25/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 30/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 45/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 30/100 (weight 15%)
Knife River Corp opportunities and risks
What speaks for KNF
- Long-Term Public Infrastructure Capital Spending
What speaks against KNF
- Severe Operational Margin Compression
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KNF | 22.6x | 1.0x | 10.9x | 17.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| EXP | 14.1x | 2.4x | 9.5x | 27.0% | 17.3% | 3.1% |
| USLM | 24.3x | 8.7x | 15.3x | 48.5% | 35.7% | 2.8% |
| MCEM | 13.4x | 3.9x | 8.9x | 39.1% | 29.0% | 5.7% |
| RMIX | n/a | 5.9x | 82.9x | 37.0% | -6.0% | -2.9% |
| Peer median | 13.8x | 4.9x | 12.4x | 38.0% | 23.1% | 3.0% |
Frequently asked questions about Knife River Corp (KNF)
Is KNF stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Knife River Corp as AVOID with an investment score of 30/100. The TradeMates model sees KNF as an unattractive risk/reward candidate at current levels. Deteriorating profitability margins, rising debt burdens, and a major Q2 earnings miss indicate operational headwinds that override broader infrastructure demand tailwinds. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is KNF stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for KNF is AVOID with an investment score of 30/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.