Ingredion Inc (INGR) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Deep value valuation and low leverage are currently trapped by a three-quarter EPS miss streak and deteriorating analyst sentiment.
Investment score: 48/100
Analysis as of
Is Ingredion Inc stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
Ingredion offers deep value and a sustainable 3.25% yield, but fundamental execution is faltering with three consecutive earnings misses. Technicals are bearish as the stock nears its 52-week low, and recent analyst downgrades suggest a lack of near-term catalysts.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 75/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 65/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 20/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 30/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 50/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 40/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 55/100 (weight 15%)
Ingredion Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for INGR
- Significant Valuation Gap
What speaks against INGR
- Persistent Earnings Underperformance
Peers and competitors
- ADM
- BG
- DAR
- BWEL
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INGR | 9.3x | 0.9x | 6.1x | 24.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% |
| ADM | 34.1x | 0.5x | 12.0x | 5.8% | 1.3% | 13.0% |
| BG | 32.9x | 0.3x | 16.2x | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| BG | 32.9x | 0.3x | 16.2x | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| DAR | 38.1x | 1.4x | 12.8x | 16.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% |
| BWEL | 11.4x | 1.1x | 5.9x | 17.2% | 9.9% | -1.5% |
| Peer median | 32.9x | 0.5x | 12.8x | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Frequently asked questions about Ingredion Inc (INGR)
Is INGR stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Ingredion Inc as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 48/100. Ingredion offers deep value and a sustainable 3.25% yield, but fundamental execution is faltering with three consecutive earnings misses. Technicals are bearish as the stock nears its 52-week low, and recent analyst downgrades suggest a lack of near-term catalysts. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is INGR stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for INGR is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 48/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.