Helmerich and Payne Inc (HP) Stock Analysis
Verdict: AVOID
KCA Deutag scale boosts revenue, but 4 straight EPS misses and $2.32B debt cap upside above consensus target of $43.60.
Investment score: 37/100
Analysis as of
Is Helmerich and Payne Inc stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
The model views Helmerich & Payne as overextended following its 28.4% 30-day rally to $45.02. While revenue grew 16.57% in FY25 due to the KCA Deutag integration, four consecutive earnings misses and $2.32B in total debt outweigh near-term price momentum.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 35/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 45/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 60/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 15/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 20/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 45/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 35/100 (weight 15%)
Helmerich and Payne Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for HP
- Revenue Expansion via KCA Deutag Acquisition
What speaks against HP
- Persistent Operational & Earnings Execution Misses
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HP | n/a | 1.1x | 7.7x | 10.5% | -3.4% | 7.0% |
| NE | 49.0x | 2.4x | 9.7x | 26.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| PTEN | n/a | 1.0x | 6.9x | 14.2% | -1.9% | 3.7% |
| NE | 49.0x | 2.4x | 9.7x | 26.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| AASP | n/a | 0.0x | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | -4.0% |
| KEGX | n/a | 0.1x | n/a | 5.7% | -23.5% | -151.9% |
| Peer median | n/a | 1.0x | 6.9x | 14.2% | 0.0% | 3.7% |
Frequently asked questions about Helmerich and Payne Inc (HP)
Is HP stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates Helmerich and Payne Inc as AVOID with an investment score of 37/100. The model views Helmerich & Payne as overextended following its 28.4% 30-day rally to $45.02. While revenue grew 16.57% in FY25 due to the KCA Deutag integration, four consecutive earnings misses and $2.32B in total debt outweigh near-term price momentum. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is HP stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for HP is AVOID with an investment score of 37/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.