Heritage Global Inc (HGBL) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Deep value discount at 0.6x book is currently a 'value trap' due to chronic earnings misses and collapsing net margins.
Investment score: 42/100
Analysis as of
Is Heritage Global Inc stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
Avoid until earnings stabilize and the downtrend breaks.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 85/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 40/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 20/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 15/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 35/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 70/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 45/100 (weight 15%)
Heritage Global Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for HGBL
- Deep Asset Discount
What speaks against HGBL
- Chronic Earnings Underperformance
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HGBL | 13.5x | 0.9x | 5.5x | 38.5% | 6.4% | -0.6% |
| BKFG | n/a | 9.9x | n/a | 31.3% | -4.3% | 0.4% |
| MGLD | n/a | 1.7x | n/a | 69.3% | -7.5% | -5.9% |
| BENF | n/a | n/a | 0.1x | 148.5% | 333.5% | -1094.4% |
| OFS | n/a | n/a | n/a | 223.0% | 315.0% | 136.4% |
| GROW | 10.0x | 3.1x | 2.4x | 64.9% | 29.1% | 1.4% |
| Peer median | n/a | 1.7x | n/a | 69.3% | 29.1% | 0.4% |
Frequently asked questions about Heritage Global Inc (HGBL)
Is HGBL stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Heritage Global Inc as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 42/100. Avoid until earnings stabilize and the downtrend breaks. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is HGBL stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for HGBL is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 42/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.