FirstService Corp (FSV) Stock Analysis
Verdict: HOLD
Market overreaction to earnings provides a value entry into a high-moat recurring revenue model with 6.5% FCF yield.
Investment score: 62/100
Analysis as of
Is FirstService Corp stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
FirstService is currently a 'fallen angel' scenario where fundamental performance (22% earnings growth) is being ignored due to short-term price trauma. The model sees a high probability of recovery toward the $140.00 consensus low as the 6.5% FCF yield provides a valuation floor.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 55/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 65/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 35/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 80/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 50/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 85/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 60/100 (weight 15%)
FirstService Corp opportunities and risks
What speaks for FSV
- Attractive Forward Valuation
What speaks against FSV
- Ultra-Thin Net Margins
Peers and competitors
- FSV.TO
- CIGI.TO
- AIF.TO
- REAX
- REAL.TO
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV | 34.8x | 1.0x | 12.5x | 31.8% | 2.9% | 6.5% |
| FSV.TO | 34.8x | 1.0x | 12.5x | 31.8% | 2.9% | 6.5% |
| CIGI.TO | 55.3x | 0.8x | 10.6x | 24.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% |
| AIF.TO | n/a | 3.6x | 38.2x | 63.7% | -3.4% | 5.5% |
| REAX | n/a | 0.2x | n/a | 8.4% | -0.3% | 21.8% |
| REAL.TO | n/a | 1.4x | n/a | 26.3% | -13.6% | -1.5% |
| Peer median | n/a | 1.0x | 10.6x | 26.3% | -0.3% | 5.5% |
Frequently asked questions about FirstService Corp (FSV)
Is FSV stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates FirstService Corp as HOLD with an investment score of 62/100. FirstService is currently a 'fallen angel' scenario where fundamental performance (22% earnings growth) is being ignored due to short-term price trauma. The model sees a high probability of recovery toward the $140.00 consensus low as the 6.5% FCF yield provides a valuation floor. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is FSV stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for FSV is HOLD with an investment score of 62/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.