Forestar Group Inc (FOR) Stock Analysis
Verdict: HOLD
Deep value play on residential land hindered by three consecutive earnings misses and a persistent cash-burn for inventory expansion.
Investment score: 64/100
Analysis as of
Is Forestar Group Inc stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
Forestar offers an attractive entry point for long-term value seekers at 0.76x P/B, but poor earnings execution and negative cash flow prevent a Buy rating.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 85/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 55/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 45/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 40/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 30/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 70/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 50/100 (weight 15%)
Forestar Group Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for FOR
- Significant Asset Undervaluation
What speaks against FOR
- Negative Earnings Momentum Trend
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOR | 8.6x | 0.9x | 8.5x | 21.4% | 9.9% | 19.2% |
| HHH | 13.7x | 1.7x | 10.3x | 25.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% |
| STRS | 7.4x | 5.5x | 7.6x | -30.3% | 75.0% | -25.9% |
| AXR | 11.6x | 2.2x | 4.7x | 54.0% | 19.5% | 11.9% |
| STHO | n/a | 1.2x | n/a | 2.8% | -71.0% | -45.2% |
| KANP | 5.1x | 2.5x | 1.7x | 44.5% | 49.8% | 29.9% |
| Peer median | 7.4x | 2.2x | 4.7x | 25.2% | 19.5% | 11.9% |
Frequently asked questions about Forestar Group Inc (FOR)
Is FOR stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates Forestar Group Inc as HOLD with an investment score of 64/100. Forestar offers an attractive entry point for long-term value seekers at 0.76x P/B, but poor earnings execution and negative cash flow prevent a Buy rating. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is FOR stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for FOR is HOLD with an investment score of 64/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.