Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) Stock Analysis
Verdict: BUY
HOKA and UGG momentum at 11.8x TTM P/E offers upside, balanced by tariff cost pressures and wholesale growth deceleration.
Investment score: 70/100
Analysis as of
Is Deckers Outdoor Corp stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
The AI model rates DECK as a BUY, recognizing a disconnect between its 11.8x P/E valuation and strong fundamental metrics including 57.8% gross margin and $1.10B free cash flow.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 78/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 85/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 45/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 82/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 50/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 72/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 70/100 (weight 15%)
Deckers Outdoor Corp opportunities and risks
What speaks for DECK
- International expansion driving high single-digit top-line growth
What speaks against DECK
- Tariff implementation and freight cost spikes pressuring operating margins
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DECK | 11.8x | 2.0x | 7.3x | 57.8% | 18.4% | 9.9% |
| NKE | 16.6x | 1.1x | 12.2x | 43.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| CROX | 10.0x | 1.4x | 7.6x | 57.5% | 14.6% | 12.6% |
| SHOO | 22.0x | 1.2x | 13.7x | 46.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% |
| WWW | 15.0x | 0.8x | 11.2x | 47.0% | 5.5% | 10.9% |
| RCKY | 11.7x | 0.7x | 7.3x | 42.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Peer median | 15.0x | 1.1x | 11.2x | 46.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% |
Frequently asked questions about Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK)
Is DECK stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates Deckers Outdoor Corp as BUY with an investment score of 70/100. The AI model rates DECK as a BUY, recognizing a disconnect between its 11.8x P/E valuation and strong fundamental metrics including 57.8% gross margin and $1.10B free cash flow. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is DECK stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for DECK is BUY with an investment score of 70/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.