Coherent Corp (COHR) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Surging 800G/1.6T optical demand and NVIDIA's $2B deal fuel growth, but $1.11B capex cash drain and heavy insider selling counsel caution.
Investment score: 52/100
Analysis as of
Is Coherent Corp stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
The AI model evaluates Coherent Corp. (COHR) as a Watch with an investment score of 52/100. While hyper-scale AI demand for 800G/1.6T transceivers and NVIDIA's strategic backing drive multi-year revenue growth, current cash flow generation is heavily depleted by elevated capex requirements.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 45/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 60/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 35/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 70/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 20/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 75/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 55/100 (weight 15%)
Coherent Corp opportunities and risks
What speaks for COHR
- NVIDIA Strategic Partnership & $2B Investment
What speaks against COHR
- Capital Expenditure Surge and Free Cash Flow Drain
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COHR | 57.6x | 6.9x | 33.2x | 37.5% | 11.3% | -2.1% |
| APH | 38.8x | 6.9x | 23.3x | 38.5% | 17.8% | 2.3% |
| GLW | 62.6x | 7.0x | 29.7x | 36.3% | 11.2% | 2.0% |
| LFUS | n/a | 3.8x | 41.1x | 39.3% | -0.3% | 4.4% |
| VSH | 110.9x | 1.0x | 10.6x | 21.0% | 0.9% | -0.2% |
| BDC | 16.7x | 1.4x | 10.3x | 36.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Peer median | 38.8x | 3.8x | 23.3x | 36.5% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
Frequently asked questions about Coherent Corp (COHR)
Is COHR stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates Coherent Corp as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 52/100. The AI model evaluates Coherent Corp. (COHR) as a Watch with an investment score of 52/100. While hyper-scale AI demand for 800G/1.6T transceivers and NVIDIA's strategic backing drive multi-year revenue growth, current cash flow generation is heavily depleted by elevated capex requirements. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is COHR stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for COHR is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 52/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.