Carrier Global Corp (CARR) Stock Analysis
Verdict: AVOID
High debt and lagging margins leave CARR vulnerable to technical downside despite long-term HVAC capex tailwinds.
Investment score: 39/100
Analysis as of
Is Carrier Global Corp stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
The model sees Carrier Global as overvalued relative to its leverage and margin structure, recommending AVOID as price action threatens the $50.24 support line.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 30/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 45/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 25/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 60/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 20/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 65/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 35/100 (weight 15%)
Carrier Global Corp opportunities and risks
What speaks for CARR
- Secular growth in data center cooling and commercial HVAC modernization through 2028.
What speaks against CARR
- Elevated leverage with Net Debt / EBITDA of 4.03x.
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR | 37.3x | 2.0x | 20.3x | 24.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| MAS | 15.7x | 1.8x | 11.0x | 36.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% |
| CSL | 18.1x | 2.5x | 12.1x | 35.3% | 14.2% | 6.7% |
| LII | 16.3x | 2.4x | 12.7x | 33.1% | 14.6% | 5.9% |
| MAIR | 107.4x | 6.1x | 32.1x | 38.6% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| WMS | 21.8x | 3.0x | 12.2x | 37.6% | 14.0% | 5.7% |
| Peer median | 18.1x | 2.5x | 12.2x | 36.9% | 14.0% | 5.9% |
Frequently asked questions about Carrier Global Corp (CARR)
Is CARR stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Carrier Global Corp as AVOID with an investment score of 39/100. The model sees Carrier Global as overvalued relative to its leverage and margin structure, recommending AVOID as price action threatens the $50.24 support line. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is CARR stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for CARR is AVOID with an investment score of 39/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.