TopBuild Corp (BLD) Stock Analysis
Verdict: AVOID
M&A uncertainty and shareholder preference for cash signal near-term price caps despite leading market position in insulation.
Investment score: 38/100
Analysis as of
Is TopBuild Corp stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
Avoid TopBuild due to massive technical weakness, M&A integration risks, and a valuation premium that isn't justified by current earnings contraction.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 30/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 60/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 20/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 45/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 25/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 40/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 35/100 (weight 15%)
TopBuild Corp opportunities and risks
What speaks for BLD
- Scale Advantage in Insulation Distribution
What speaks against BLD
- Shareholder Rejection of Equity Consideration
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BLD | 19.8x | 1.8x | 12.9x | 28.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| DHI | 15.2x | 1.4x | 12.0x | 22.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% |
| PHM | 13.2x | 1.6x | 9.6x | 26.1% | 12.1% | 6.3% |
| LEN | 14.2x | 0.7x | 11.4x | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| NVR | 15.7x | 1.9x | 10.6x | 22.8% | 12.8% | 6.7% |
| TOL | 12.4x | 1.4x | 9.6x | 24.9% | 11.7% | 7.9% |
| Peer median | 14.2x | 1.4x | 10.6x | 22.8% | 11.7% | 6.7% |
Frequently asked questions about TopBuild Corp (BLD)
Is BLD stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates TopBuild Corp as AVOID with an investment score of 38/100. Avoid TopBuild due to massive technical weakness, M&A integration risks, and a valuation premium that isn't justified by current earnings contraction. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is BLD stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for BLD is AVOID with an investment score of 38/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.