Brookdale Senior Living Inc (BKD) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Aggressive analyst upgrades and secular aging tailwinds clash with a precarious balance sheet and a four-quarter streak of earnings misses.
Investment score: 48/100
Analysis as of
Is Brookdale Senior Living Inc stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
BKD remains a high-risk, high-leverage bet on US senior housing occupancy. While analysts are bullish, the underlying financials show deteriorating equity and persistent earnings underperformance.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 45/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 25/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 40/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 20/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 50/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 85/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 55/100 (weight 15%)
Brookdale Senior Living Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for BKD
- Projected Return to Profitability by 2027
What speaks against BKD
- Balance Sheet Insolvency and Dilution Risk
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKD | n/a | 1.1x | 22.0x | 14.3% | -6.6% | 0.3% |
| EHC | 17.9x | 1.8x | 9.2x | 58.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| ENSG | 26.5x | 1.9x | 19.4x | 13.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| UHS | 6.4x | 0.5x | 5.2x | 71.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% |
| PACS | 27.6x | 1.2x | 22.6x | 19.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| CON | 22.7x | 1.8x | 14.2x | 27.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Peer median | 22.7x | 1.8x | 14.2x | 27.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
Frequently asked questions about Brookdale Senior Living Inc (BKD)
Is BKD stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Brookdale Senior Living Inc as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 48/100. BKD remains a high-risk, high-leverage bet on US senior housing occupancy. While analysts are bullish, the underlying financials show deteriorating equity and persistent earnings underperformance. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is BKD stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for BKD is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 48/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.