BGM Group Ltd (BGM) Stock Analysis
Verdict: AVOID
Severe share dilution and expanding operating losses make BGM a high-risk microcap despite top-line growth in TCM and APIs.
Investment score: 21/100
Analysis as of
Is BGM Group Ltd stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
The AI model views BGM Group Ltd as an avoid candidate due to a 1,467% share dilution in FY2025, widening net losses to -$19.94 million, and persistent negative free cash flow of -$4.44 million.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 30/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 20/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 10/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 15/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 30/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 25/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 15/100 (weight 15%)
BGM Group Ltd opportunities and risks
What speaks for BGM
- Revenue Recovery in TCM and API Segments
What speaks against BGM
- Massive Share Dilution Eroding Equity Value
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGM | n/a | 2.1x | n/a | 12.8% | -44.2% | 1.5% |
| ZYBT | n/a | 6.8x | n/a | 8.3% | -89.0% | 7.1% |
| CPHI | n/a | 9.1x | n/a | -9.3% | -114.3% | -0.5% |
| UPC | n/a | 0.2x | 11.5x | 35.9% | -10.9% | -407.8% |
| SXTC | n/a | 0.6x | 3.1x | 44.4% | -290.7% | -366.7% |
| Peer median | n/a | 3.7x | n/a | 22.1% | -101.7% | -183.6% |
Frequently asked questions about BGM Group Ltd (BGM)
Is BGM stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates BGM Group Ltd as AVOID with an investment score of 21/100. The AI model views BGM Group Ltd as an avoid candidate due to a 1,467% share dilution in FY2025, widening net losses to -$19.94 million, and persistent negative free cash flow of -$4.44 million. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is BGM stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for BGM is AVOID with an investment score of 21/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.