Aya Gold & Silver Inc (AYA) Stock Analysis
Verdict: HOLD
High-margin Zgounder expansion drives growth, but chronic earnings misses and a 32x P/E require a wait for a superior technical entry.
Investment score: 64/100
Analysis as of
Is Aya Gold & Silver Inc stock worth reviewing? The TradeMates thesis
The model identifies AYA as a high-quality producer with execution hurdles. The -17.6% Q1 surprise indicates a mismatch between ramp-up reality and market expectations.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 40/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 85/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 70/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 35/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 50/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 80/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 45/100 (weight 15%)
Aya Gold & Silver Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for AYA
- Production Scalability
What speaks against AYA
- Operational Execution Gap
Peers and competitors
- AG.TO
- DSV.TO
- AYA.TO
- MAG.TO
- EDR.TO
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AYA | 32.3x | 10.1x | 16.5x | 54.7% | 30.4% | 2.4% |
| AG.TO | 27.6x | 5.4x | 8.3x | 43.1% | 19.4% | 6.8% |
| DSV.TO | 20.9x | 4.1x | 8.2x | 46.5% | 20.0% | 4.0% |
| AYA.TO | 32.3x | 10.1x | 16.5x | 54.7% | 30.4% | 2.4% |
| MAG.TO | 40.7x | 0.0x | 35.7x | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.3% |
| EDR.TO | n/a | 3.8x | 20.6x | 23.4% | -3.5% | -3.7% |
| Peer median | 27.6x | 4.1x | 16.5x | 43.1% | 19.4% | 2.4% |
Frequently asked questions about Aya Gold & Silver Inc (AYA)
Is AYA stock a good investment?
The TradeMates model rates Aya Gold & Silver Inc as HOLD with an investment score of 64/100. The model identifies AYA as a high-quality producer with execution hurdles. The -17.6% Q1 surprise indicates a mismatch between ramp-up reality and market expectations. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is AYA stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for AYA is HOLD with an investment score of 64/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.