AEVEX Corp (AVEX) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Hyper-growth in defense autonomy is offset by heavy cash burn and structural overhang from sponsor share sales.
Investment score: 56/100
Analysis as of
Is AEVEX Corp stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
The model rates AVEX as a HOLD (Score 56/100). Robust 143.4% top-line growth and recent $92.2M Pentagon contract wins showcase core product demand, but negative cash burn (-$106.1M FCF) and massive sponsor selling cap immediate upside.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 70/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 50/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 30/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 80/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 30/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 85/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 45/100 (weight 15%)
AEVEX Corp opportunities and risks
What speaks for AVEX
- Department of War SkyRange contract win worth up to $92.2M through 2029
What speaks against AVEX
- Heavy annual cash burn with FY2025 Free Cash Flow at -$106.1M and Operating Cash Flow at -$97.6M
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVEX | 37.5x | 1.3x | 9.1x | 24.2% | 6.5% | 0.6% |
| RDW | n/a | 6.0x | n/a | 20.1% | -57.3% | -4.0% |
| DCO | n/a | 3.0x | 490.9x | 27.2% | -2.9% | -0.9% |
| AADX | n/a | 3.7x | n/a | 23.1% | -40.1% | -5.3% |
| YSS | n/a | 2.7x | n/a | 21.2% | -50.1% | -16.8% |
| HAWK | n/a | 9.4x | 137.8x | 64.3% | -12.9% | -0.1% |
| Peer median | n/a | 3.7x | n/a | 23.1% | -40.1% | -4.0% |
Frequently asked questions about AEVEX Corp (AVEX)
Is AVEX stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates AEVEX Corp as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 56/100. The model rates AVEX as a HOLD (Score 56/100). Robust 143.4% top-line growth and recent $92.2M Pentagon contract wins showcase core product demand, but negative cash burn (-$106.1M FCF) and massive sponsor selling cap immediate upside. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is AVEX stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for AVEX is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 56/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.