AeroVironment Inc (AVAV) Stock Analysis
Verdict: WATCH (do not buy)
Record $1.5B backlog and $465M Army laser contract signal multi-year growth, but persistent GAAP losses and technical breakdown dictate caution.
Investment score: 42/100
Analysis as of
Is AeroVironment Inc stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
AeroVironment trades at 52-week lows despite record $1.5B funded backlog and key laser contract wins. GAAP losses from acquisition integration and poor technical momentum outweigh strong operational bookings in the 90-day outlook.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 35/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 55/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 20/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 50/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 30/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 75/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 40/100 (weight 15%)
AeroVironment Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for AVAV
- Record $1.5B funded backlog provides multi-year revenue visibility through FY28
What speaks against AVAV
- Second-half guidance weighting creates acute execution risk
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAV | n/a | 3.3x | n/a | 26.5% | -14.5% | 0.0% |
| BWXT | 36.1x | 3.6x | 25.7x | 22.1% | 10.1% | 2.5% |
| HII | 15.7x | 0.8x | 11.2x | 12.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| DRS | 29.7x | 2.5x | 19.2x | 24.9% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| KTOS | 242.1x | 5.1x | 55.3x | 22.0% | 2.0% | -1.7% |
| Peer median | 32.9x | 3.1x | 22.4x | 22.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
Frequently asked questions about AeroVironment Inc (AVAV)
Is AVAV stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates AeroVironment Inc as WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 42/100. AeroVironment trades at 52-week lows despite record $1.5B funded backlog and key laser contract wins. GAAP losses from acquisition integration and poor technical momentum outweigh strong operational bookings in the 90-day outlook. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is AVAV stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for AVAV is WATCH (do not buy) with an investment score of 42/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.