AST SpaceMobile Inc (ASTS) Stock Analysis
Verdict: AVOID
Launch target delays to 2027, $1.1B annual cash burn, and mounting securities class actions undermine ASTS despite $1.3B backlog.
Investment score: 23/100
Analysis as of
Is AST SpaceMobile Inc stock worth reviewing? AI model thesis
The AI model recommends AVOID for AST SpaceMobile Inc. Despite holding $2.29B in cash and a $1.3B backlog, the company faces excessive execution risks, an annual FCF burn exceeding -$1.1B, rising debt ($2.99B), and class action lawsuits targeting management statements and executive stock sales.
7-factor investment score
- Valuation: 15/100 (weight 20%)
- Financial Health: 30/100 (weight 15%)
- Technical Momentum: 10/100 (weight 15%)
- Earnings Quality: 15/100 (weight 15%)
- Insider Sentiment: 35/100 (weight 10%)
- Analyst Consensus: 55/100 (weight 10%)
- Risk-Adjusted Return: 20/100 (weight 15%)
AST SpaceMobile Inc opportunities and risks
What speaks for ASTS
- Substantial $1.3B Contracted Revenue Backlog Across Global MNOs
What speaks against ASTS
- Accelerating Capital Expenditure and Deep Free Cash Flow Deficits
Peers and competitors
| Ticker | P/E | P/S | EV/EBITDA | Gross margin | Net margin | FCF yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASTS | n/a | 148.7x | n/a | -14.0% | -536.7% | -9.6% |
| SPCX | n/a | 121.0x | 304.8x | 50.8% | -35.1% | -1.2% |
| GSAT | n/a | 38.0x | 171.4x | 49.2% | -21.3% | 1.7% |
| IRDM | 52.0x | 5.5x | 15.2x | 70.4% | 10.5% | 5.9% |
| LUMN | n/a | 0.4x | 7.3x | 47.8% | -8.7% | 17.8% |
| ATEX | 23.7x | 230.6x | 769.6x | 100.0% | 933.0% | 0.9% |
| Peer median | n/a | 38.0x | 171.4x | 50.8% | -8.7% | 1.7% |
Frequently asked questions about AST SpaceMobile Inc (ASTS)
Is ASTS stock a good investment?
The cached TradeMates AI model rates AST SpaceMobile Inc as AVOID with an investment score of 23/100. The AI model recommends AVOID for AST SpaceMobile Inc. Despite holding $2.29B in cash and a $1.3B backlog, the company faces excessive execution risks, an annual FCF burn exceeding -$1.1B, rising debt ($2.99B), and class action lawsuits targeting management statements and executive stock sales. This is algorithmic model output, not personal investment advice.
Is ASTS stock a buy?
The TradeMates model verdict for ASTS is AVOID with an investment score of 23/100. Treat this as a model signal to review, not a personal buy recommendation.